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Zimbabwe:
Identity, Security and Conflict
© Steve Kibble
CIIR
(Africa Advocacy Officer), January 2003
First draft comments welcome send to
What
makes the crisis in Zimbabwe so intractable? Why is it so seemingly
impervious to what look to outsiders as rational answers? Why does
the southern African region, particularly its organisation the Southern
African Development Community (SADC) and the dominant country within
SADC, South Africa, see unable or unwilling to act? What can southern
Africans and those with partners in southern Africa do?
Misunderstandings certainly abound, but there are
also fundamental questions of identity and human security complicating
the search for easy answers. There are long-run pre-colonial, colonial
and post colonial (dis)continuities overlaid
with lack of fit between economic and political boundaries. The
globalisation agenda of the North has
only exacerbated the extremely uneven way that southern Africa,
its states and peoples have been integrated into the world economy
and polity. The process has been marked by resistance of different
forms, including the emergence of new social forces, often referred
to as civil society. States which have only recently emerged from
liberation struggles against colonialism or apartheid now find themselves
challenged by such new social forces, not all of which are coherent
and united.
Whilst there have been successful resistance and democratisation
struggles in southern Africa, they have often led to formal democracy
but with little popular empowerment. Recent resistance has arisen
to stabilisation programmes in which Southern regimes under pressure
from Northern financial institutions and growing balance of payments
constraints introduced policies abandoning social services. Policy
in Southern states moved from fulfilling popular demand to the removal
of market barriers. The upshot of states losing their distributive
capacity meant state-society relations became highly confrontational.
Good governance broke down under the effects of neo-liberalism leading to the disappearance of consensus,
political centralisation, peripheralisation
of certain groups and generalised repression.
Traditionally, security has been viewed
as firmly rooted in the nation state, itself the source of identity.
It has operated through agreements between different militaries
and political elites: a strongly male arena. But what happens to traditional
security and identity when weaker nation states are
less able to control their own policy as power shifts to global
social formations, and markets are dominated by (Northern) transnational
corporations, multilateral financial and trading institutions?
Brian
Raftopoulos, President of the Crisis in Zimbabwe Committee
(which links 480 NGOs), sees the African
state reaction as unhelpful and undemocratic. On the one hand
there is a global superpower, espousing liberal democratic values,
but policing an economic agenda producing widespread global impoverishment;
on the other hand this system of global inequalities is breeding
an authoritarian nationalism in countries like Zimbabwe, that demands
uncritical solidarity, and in which there is no place for national
state accountability. Solidarity seems to mean little more than
a defensive reaction to broader geo-political
concerns. While it may provide some short-term solace to regimes
facing a national crisis of legitimacy, it is a grossly inadequate
basis for imagining alternative futures. The real need to build
up co-ordinated African positions on global inequalities has also
to be based on the democratic accountability of African nation states
themselves.
There
are other relevant polarities. There is a gap between how Northerners/
Westerners perceive their own models and practice of human rights
and development and how others in the world perceive them. Western
oil and strategic interests, particularly in the Cold War context,
backed stable corrupt and oligarchic regimes rather
than pursue human rights. This gap is probably most advanced in
the Muslim/ Arab world and has a ready-made focus in the Israeli-Palestinian
dispute. (One can also dwell here of course on the particularly
unsubtle forms of Bushite oil-driven foreign
policy meeting an Arab world seeking through alternative forms of
religious-driven identity to overcome its long humiliation by the
West). But it provides anywhere a breeding ground for the authoritarian
nationalism alluded to by Raftopoulos.
A
recent history versus recent amnesia polarity illustrates
major differences between North and South. For many Zimbabweans
alive today, the colonial and settler periods are very much part
of their life experience and the forcible conquest of their lands
is only three generations back very recent in most understandings
of history. By contrast, most British and other European peoples
have only a sketchy idea of what went on under colonial rule and
its implications today in terms of 'failed' or collapsing states,
skewed and inappropriate economies and state structures, manipulation
of ethnic identities and authoritarian nationalism.
Some countries experienced colonialism especially
intensely, particularly those which forcibly received large numbers
of settlers who expropriated large amounts of land, and imposed
racial domination and division apartheid being the supreme
example. In these countries notably South Africa and Rhodesia
(Zimbabwe after independence) diversified economies geared
to settler needs were created. At independence, these could be operated
by newly-decolonising (black) elites.
Such elites inherited powerful centralised
state apparatuses, although little political or economic power.
The parallels between the way Ian Smith (the last white minority
leader of Rhodesia) and President Mugabe have used this kind of state similar to the
apartheid national security state are striking
in their use of decentralised and informal (deniable) state repression combined
with appeals to a created national identity and solidarity in the
face of global enemies.
Zimbabwe
faces multiple crises a crisis of legitimacy as its
postcolonial consensus crumbles, a crisis
of expectations stemming from the failure of its economy
and polity, a crisis of confidence in the impartiality of
the institutions of the state. These add up to a crisis of security
in which the state is increasingly repressive and centralised, but
this process itself undermines stability so that it becomes less
able to defend the elite and its supporters. The process may seem
illogical, but it marks the ultimate if narrow realpolitik
form of security where the state re-defines itself as the only element
of society that needs security. It parallels the transition of the
state from settler forms through the immediate (and popular) post
colonial nationalist path to the incorporation of neo-patrimonial
(or clientilist) elements as the power bloc uses naked power overlaid
with a narrow form of Shona (its ethnic
support base) identity as its only form of survival.
The
national security strategy of the elite of Zimbabwes
ruling party (ZANU-PF) has led to economic collapse, severe repression
and flight of both capital and professionals. It has also had severe
economic consequences for the region although as yet there has been
no concerted regional reaction to this in terms of security. This
in turn relates to national elites being
unable to formulate a path directed to human security, largely because
of their lack of engagement with and mistrust of new social forces
(which of course are not themselves necessarily united or coherent).
Additionally, as the Zimbabwe elite struggled to contain popular
resistance, it rallied its support base by playing its last cards
of land, race and anti-imperialism all of which had
strong resonance for regional elites aware
of their own vulnerabilities on these questions and within the global
structure.
One form of resistance is regionalisation.
It is however, contradictory, as both part of and a reaction to
globalisation. As the Cold War world system of two antagonistic
blocs ended, security became regionalised.
Economically this is reflected by TNCs
dominating regional economies as the new basis of international
relations. The other states in the region, particularly South Africa,
hesitate between a closed form of regional security and opening
up to world economic forces for increased and supposedly more effective
links to the global economy. South Africa is pushing a process where integrated
manufacturing becomes the basis for a regional industrial strategy.
For this base to reach into world markets, outside investment is
crucial, but this in turn depends on improvements in governance
which the NEPAD programme (an uneasy mix
of pan-African idealism and neo-liberalism)
seeks to bring about. This whole process is marked by contradiction
which does nothing to lessen conflict and insecurity in Zimbabwe
and the region.
South Africa at least initially believed
that its model of negotiated settlement and compromise was transferable
to Zimbabwe. It insists on 'quiet diplomacy' for reasons of regional
solidarity and because it will not jump at the behest of former
colonial masters. It points to misconceptions about the extent of
its power as the 'regional hegemon' saying
it cannot unilaterally reorder the region. Rather it vaunts a united
regional approach based on avoiding confrontation and promoting
multilateralism. Additionally, while South
Africa has leverage over Zimbabwe in areas of finance, energy and
oil, the economies are too closely linked to impose sanctions. It
also knows that it too is vulnerable on the land question.
Both the ANC and ZANU-PF see themselves
as the legitimate inheritors of the anti-colonial struggle with
any other parties tainted by association with previous regimes.
For this reason it and other southern Africa states have been only
too ready to accept ZANU-PFs policies as in some way Pan-African and anti-imperialist
in the face of global inequalities and British neo-colonialism.
Strangely,
given the support received by the ANC in exile, Pretoria has never
supported human rights groups and opposition forces within societies
whose governments are undemocratic and/or human rights violators.
Instead, it seems to rely on notions of the legitimacy of heads
of state and of sovereignty, key Organisation of African Unity positions,
but formalistic concepts nonetheless. Pretoria has less trouble
with the idea of a just world order which means equity
amongst nations, but little concern for more far-reaching
restructuring of power to embrace human security concerns.
Towards a Democratic Response
Mugabes charge that the UK is attempting to re-colonise Zimbabwe deflects from
the real problem: it is structural rather than conspiratorial processes
in the world economy which are potentially undermining Zimbabwe.
Mugabe is defending a new power bloc inside
Zimbabwe which clings to power in the face of global inequalities,
popular pressure from new and old social movements. And he is doing
it with a Cold War rhetoric that resonates with both African elites and landless and frustrated
African populations. The contradiction of the policy of this power
bloc is that it is unable to create resistance to globalisation
precisely because it does not engage with its own population.
How do we shift the monopoly on security from the military,
and build a framework of human security addressing the concerns
of those without power? How do we frame an alternative perspective
which can promote regional, national and local policies based on
globalisation from below and human security? Increasingly,
World and European social forums and African civil society reflections
on NEPAD have attempted to provide answers which involve global
civil society and non-governmental organisations (not to confuse
the two). They stress international humanitarian values and citizenship
to counter nationhood, civilisation blocs or geo-economic
units. Such values would include peace, the promotion of human rights,
concepts of the common good as the building blocks for security,
reciprocity and multilateral power centres. They would equally demand
that domestic security concerns involve greater attention to violence
against women and children, often ignored by state agencies. In
the post Cold War consensus and victory of the West
such voices appear much weaker than the inevitability of globalisation
agenda, but the need becomes stronger. Marrying the organisation
to the need and the alternative vision remains the task. It may
not seem obvious in the presence of more immediate concerns, but
the fight against repression in Zimbabwe illustrates much of this.
It involves a discussion of the values post-colonial states and
regions should have and their road to development, democracy and
overcoming of colonial and apartheid structures. All of these issues
pose crucial human security dilemmas.
First draft comments welcome, send to
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